Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer. Costco… | 32 comments (2024)

Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco… | 32 comments (1)

VP Strategy & Operations @ Prescient AI | Helping omnichannel brands measure and optimize spend | Co-founder Don't VLOOKUP

I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco Wholesale's famed rotisserie chicken is noticeably smaller.While its been long rumored that Costco planned to move away from its large bins to bags to reduce plastic, the change to a smaller bird is a surprise.I thought I was the only one but reddit boards confirmed the suspicion “OldCostco chickenwas 5-5.5lbs. The greasy leaking bagchickenis 3lb.”Yet this phenomenon, of smaller portion sizes for the same price, I’m noticing is becoming more widespread in big CPG.Chip bags feel a bit lighter.Chocolate bars have fewer squares (even before the issues with cocoa inventory).In times of inflation, with difficulties in raising consumer prices, CPG brands look for creative ways to increase margins.Yet consumers are still spending which is going to put even more inflationary pressure on the system.What I wonder is who is going to win this game of chicken?

  • Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco… | 32 comments (2)

Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco… | 32 comments (6)

Lol Reddit is not always the best source of truth. The Rotisserie Chicken has been 3 lbs for several years. So no, Costco did not reduce the size by 45% nor is your plastic bag "the most bearish signal for the consumer."

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Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco… | 32 comments (9)

Samuel Middleton

Customer Solutions Manager at Source Medium | Data Driven Decision Making | Data nerd

3mo

The end-consumer is always the loser in this game of chicken. The idea of infinite growth for growth sake is an inherently anti-market concept because no healthy market doesn't have an upward bound. But I'm no economist, haha. 🤷

Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco… | 32 comments (10)

Greg Shuey

Scaling 6 & 7-figure baby, fashion, & home decor brands | Over $500m attributed revenue generated | SEO, paid search, paid social, & email marketing

3mo

Must be testing this. Picked one up at a Costco in Utah last week and it was still the same size in the same carton as they've always been in.

Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco… | 32 comments (11)

Chris Kang

VP Engineering at Prescient

3mo

YES! Next thing you know the hotdog won’t be $1.50 anymore

Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco… | 32 comments (12)

Kim Stiefel

GM @Stamped, Prev CEO @Repeat (a Stamped company)

3mo

in other news, this is screaming MICRO PLASTICS 😳😳😳😳😳

Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco… | 32 comments (13)

Jimmy M.

VP, Product @ Prescient AI

3mo

What is this? A chicken for ants?!

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Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco… | 32 comments (16)

Paul Rambaud

Head of Growth @ Superfiliate

3mo

the shrinkflation is real...

Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco… | 32 comments (17)

John Huntsman

Client advocate to drive better client outcomes using Microsoft Dynamics 365 and M365.

3mo

Consumers are the ultimate decision makers in these situations. For most companies, the consumer has a specific price point in mind and they need to keep their product in that price point for things to stay profitable. To keep it at certain number, you have to reduce costs and an easy way to do it is to reduce how much product goes into the box/bag/container. Consumers would rather pay the same for less product than pay more for the same amount of product.

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Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.Costco… | 32 comments (18)

Ben Hanowell

Director of People Analytics Research, ADP Research.I study the decisions of employees and employers.My posts reflect my own thoughts.

3mo

If I’m not mistaken, I think that Costco (1) sells the 3lb minimum rotisserie at the famous price; (2) recently started selling smaller rotisserie chickens for a an equivalent per pound price, whereas before they would just harvest the smaller ones for breast meat, etc.And if you’re looking for a chocolate bar that is the same size as it was a few years ago just grab yourself a Tony’s Chocolonely and thank me later

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    CMO Brand Igniter®️Ex J&J, Nestlé, Kellogg’s, Pfizer. - I mentor decision-makers to grow profitable brands. Author of The Brand Igniter method for Strategic Brand Leaders. Fractional CMO, Strategist & Lecturer

    Customer-centric capability is a competitive advantage. Costco understands people. They understand the business they’re in. It is not “wholesale” or “retsil”, which are superficial definitions that everybody else uses. It is no surprise that they also have a very low (perhaps the lowest) people turnover. Which means people like working there. It is not the assets they have. It is how they use them.It is not about the products but about what they mean for people when they shop there. It is about trust and perceived value. Why else would people pay a fee in advance just to have the privilege to step into their warehouse?They understand people. Better than the rest of options for consumers. And that, in my view, can be a competitive advantage. Reposting an insightful post from Walter Holbrook What do you find distinctive about shopping at Costco?#marketing #branding #management #mentoring

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    Bizops @ StitchFix

    🛒 Costco Wholesale is increasing membership prices 💰 for the first time in 7 years . +$10/year for executive and $5 for standard, at 52M members across both at roughly 50/50 split is $7.5*52M = $390M of incremental revenue. Assuming the price increase doesn't cause increased churn...which it probably won't to any meaningful extent as the price increase is relatively small to any individual/family (especially so given Costco's typical higher HHI customer), there's no real good substitute, and it's shockingly sticky. This is the rough equivalent of: 🌭 🥤 Raising hot dog & drink combo prices from $1.50 by $2.00 to $3.50. 200M hot dogs/year *$2 = $400M. 🐔 Raising rotisserie chicken price from $4.99 by $3 to $8.99. 137M chickens/year * $3 = $411M. ^^Doing any of the two above would cause catastrophic insurrections of Costco fans but no one is really going to bat an eye at the $5-10 membership price increase. Great move. #pricing #retail #costco #strategy

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Will Holtz on LinkedIn: I’ve now seen the most bearish signal for the consumer.

Costco… | 32 comments (2024)
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